Edwin Encarnacion

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Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Week 3

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Week 3

In this week’s Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire article, I’ll be breaking down the biggest must adds, players you can cut ties with, two-start pitchers and the latest trends going into the Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Week 3!

Must Adds:

Yunel Escobar – 3B – Los Angeles Angels
18% Owned
Schedule: 4 @ CHW, 3 vs SEA

Yunel Escobar is doing an admirable job as the leadoff man for the Angels. His .426 wOBA, .357 BABIP and his high walk rate (11.8%) are numbers you want to see from the top of your lineup. What makes the Escobar pickup even more attractive is the fact that he has Mike Trout and Albert Pujols behind him. If you’re in need of walks, runs or raising your average – Escobar is the man.

Michael Saunders – LF – Toronto Blue Jays
7% Owned
Schedule: 1 @ BOS, 3 @ BAL, 3 vs OAK

Michael Saunders has worked his way up to the leadoff position for the Jays. We talked about having great security behind Yunel Escobar, but Saunders has arguably one of the best offences behind him. Although the Jays haven’t woken up this year, Saunders might be able to breathe some life into their batting order. In his career batting first, Saunders has a .321 OBP and a .712 OPS. Saunders is worth a look before he heats up.

Drops:

Devin Mesoraco – C – Cincinnati Reds
52% Owned
Schedule: 3 vs COL, 4 vs CHC

Many people drafted Devin Mesoraco hoping that he would find his raw power from the 2014 season. Unfortunately, he’s been a major dud to start the year. No homeruns, runs or RBI’s to go along with a .125 AVG isn’t good news.  He’s starting to lose time to Tucker Barnhart which really hurts his fantasy value as well. It’s time to stop hoping for Mesoraco to come around.

Khris Davis – LF – Oakland Athletics
47% Owned
Schedule: 3 @ NYY, 3 @ TOR

Khris Davis hasn’t had a multi-hit game this year. He also hasn’t left the park yet which is alarming since he swatted 27 a year ago. His high strikeout rate from last year (27.7%) has only gone up (37.5%) which means you need to immediately get him out of your lineup, especially if you’re in a league with strikeouts. 

Two Start Pitchers:

Chase Anderson – RHP – Milwaukee Brewers
12% Owned
Schedule: April 18 @ MIN, April 22 vs PHI

Chase Anderson’s 0.00 ERA through two starts isn’t even the best part about him this week. The best part is that he’s starting to find his control. Last years 2.36 BB/9 is down to 1.64 which is highly encouraging. Anderson’s matchups are attractive, too. Minnesota has been terrible this year while the Phillies look like they’re starting to come back down to earth.

Scott Feldman – RHP – Houston Astros
1% Owned
Schedule: April 19 @ TEX, April 24 vs BOS

Scott Feldman is pitching for his hypothetical life. When Lance McCullers comes back, the Astros are going to have to decide between Feldman and Mike Fiers. Ignore Feldman’s first start against Milwaukee and look at the gem he twirled against KC. His K/9 is up to 7.84 and with McCullers breathing down his back, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Feldman come away with 12 strikeouts and a sub 3.00 ERA once the week is over.

Trends:

Troy Tulowitzki – SS – Toronto Blue Jays
98% Owned
Schedule: 1 @ BOS, 3 @ BAL, 3 vs OAK

It’s not time to sell super low on Troy Tulowitzki. It’s also not time to bench him in favour of other batters. Tulo is a perennial slow starter. In the months of March and April combined, he has a lifetime .265 batting average (the lowest out of all months in his career). Let’s not forget he’s been trying out a new leg kick with his swing mechanics. Tulo’s value not only lies with his potential, but also with where he hits in the batting order. I’d say batting behind Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion & Josh Donaldson is a pretty nice spot. If someone is selling ridiculously low on Tulowitzki, buy buy buy.

 

Thanks for reading! If you have any questions regarding fantasy baseball or MLB DFS, feel free to contact me via Twitter @BESTofMATT

Episode 018: Fantasy Baseball Zach Jacobson

Episode 018: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Baseball Edition: August 11th to the 17th

Featuring Zach Jabobson (@Zatchj62) TheFakeBaseball.com 

Zach Jacobson joins The Fantasy Coach!

Zach Jacobson joins The Fantasy Coach!

 

About My Guest:  Zach has been playing fantasy sports since 2006 yet is relatively new to the writing scene. He got his start covering fantasy in 2009 at ReclinerQB, a small football blog. Despite fantasy football being a hobby of Zach’s, he soon shifted his focus to his true passion: baseball. Currently you can find him at The Fake Baseball, where he serves as Assistant Editor. You can check out Zach’s latest work here (http://thefakebaseball.com/fun-heatmaps-lonnie-chisenhall/) or join him this Monday for a fantasy baseball live chat (http://thefakebaseball.com/fake-baseball-chat-8-11/).

Episode Summary: Zach and I discuss his role at TheFakeBaseball.com and discuss all of the latest news in fantasy baseball as well as answer some questions for the listeners.

 

 

 

 

 

Episode Rundown:

  • Intro
  • Get to know our guest Zach Jacobson of TheFakeBaseball.com
  • News and Notes: Corey Kluber, Javier Baez, Anibel Sanchez, Hanley Ramirez, Michael Taylor, Mike Fiers, Caleb Joseph, Adam Eaton, Edwin Encarnacion, Will Myers, and Brad Penny (Yeah, that Brad Penny)
  • Two Start Start Pitchers
  • Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Adds
  • The Coach’s Office (Brought to you by RevoLabels.com)
  • Outro

RevoLabels.com

You can Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.

Thank Yous For Episode 018:  I want to thank Zach Jacobson for coming on the podcast and talking to me about all the injuries that fantasy baseball owners have to overcome this week.  I would also like to thank C-Quel for providing the intro music as well as the outro beat.  You can Find all of C-Quel’s current music available here.

Fantasy Baseball Auction Draft

Swag-Diamond Fantasy Baseball Auction Draft Recap and Analysis

7- Edwin Encarnacion, Tor 1B $41    Encarnacion was one of my main targets in this auction.  Starting only 3  Outfielders and adding a Corner-Infielder spot makes Encarnacion a nice option instead of blowing your entire budget on Mike Trout ($57) or Andrew McCutchen (who went to @naapsterman for only $45).  I was in on McCutchen, but once it went to 45 I backed off.  Encarnacion ended up going for the same as Chris Davis and $5 dollars cheaper than Paul Goldschmidt.

15- Troy Tulowitzki, Col SS $31  Obviously I am gambling on health with Tulowitzki, but who aren’t you gambling with health when it comes to the top Short Stops.  Hanley Ramirez ($38) isn’t exactly Super Man and Jose Reyes (only $19 to Ryan Forbes who had a great auction) is, well Jose Reyes.  I had Tulow as a $30 player so one extra wasn’t a huge deal.

45 Jose Bautista, Tor OF $24  Bautista was my biggest target in this auction.  In 5 x 5 with OB% instead of BA% he can be huge.  I was hoping to get him for $22 and went to $24 which was one below my $25 dollar rating.

54 Justin Upton, Atl OF $7 All I can say is everyone fell asleep on this one.  I only threw out a $7 bid because there didn’t look to be to much action and I didn’t exactly want him, but I wouldn’t mind making someone else pay for him.  By getting him for only $7 dollars it opened me up to spend a little more at other spots.

57 Justin Verlander, Det SP $21 Verlander was my #4 Starting Pitcher before the injuries to Darvish and Kershaw and now he is a much tighter 3B.  His price was scoffed at a bit, but then Strasburg went for $33 and Scherzer, Wainwright and Sale all went for $26, Verlander’s price didn’t look all that bad.

89 Mike Moustakas, KC 3B $9 Oh boy did I get caught with my hand in the cookie jar on this one.  I was hoping some of my fellow owners would be bidding him up on the account of his strong spring and of course when I thought someone would go to $10 they stuck me with him for $9.  Moustakas was a $5 player in my ratings and I almost doubled that up.

90 Wilin Rosario, Col C $19 Rosario is a target of mine everywhere.  I overpaid for him here, but when I looked at the Catchers that were available after he was put up, there was no one that could come close to what he brings.  He ended up costing the same as Joe Mauer and was 6 and 5 dollars less than Santana and Posey, respectively.

94 Jered Weaver, LAA SP $12 Another one where I got caught bidding up.  I was hoping some people would be desperate for starting pitching and paying for past performance, but $12 was not a bad price for Weaver.  FantasyPros actually has him rated for $12 and I have him as a $10 SP in Mixed Leagues so I’m not too upset.

104 J.J. Hardy, Bal SS $9 I needed a middle infielder with some pop and Hardy was the guy.  His BA% doesn’t matter here and his counting numbers are nice for the MI spot.  I still over paid (by at least 3-4 dollars) in a mixed league setting, but I didn’t like what was left on the board.

126 Alex Gordon, KC OF $12 Huge OB% advantage and I get him at a discount?!  I don’t know why people are sleeping on Gordon this year, but I’m not concerned as I picked him up everywhere.  I got a $8 discount according to FantasyPros and he was $8 cheaper than Hunter Pence who is a very similar player.

143 Trevor Rosenthal, StL RP $16 We need to start two relief pitchers and Rosenthal was the last of my upper-tier closers left.  I spent a little more than I wanted (I have him at $12) but I had extra money to spend.

146 R.A. Dickey, Tor SP $6 R.A. could be one of those injury bounce back players, but I only wanted him at the right price with his high WHIP so $6 was perfect.

147 Pablo Sandoval, SF 3B $8 Moustakas was not going to be the thirdbaseman I was going to bank on and Sandoval was a nice back-up/starter plan for around the same price.  I wanted to only spend $7 on him, but $8 wasn’t out of the question.

165 Andrew Cashner, SD SP $8 Cashner was a big target for me. (no pun intended with his height)  With Wins not being a category Cashner is equal to a lot of the bigger name pitchers available and he can always work on getting his K-rate up.

166 Sergio Romo, SF RP $6 Not bad for my 2nd RP.  I had Romo as an $8 closer and again I get some value.  He’s in my top ten so there’s that as well.

183 Christian Yelich, Mia OF $3 Yelich is a player who i hope gets off to a fast start.  He’s a bit of a post-hype sleeper because he was last year’s version of George Springer.  A guy with power and speed who could be a huge fantasy player in the future. I’m not confident that future is now, but if he starts fast the $3 investment could pay dividends in a trade.

196 Danny Salazar, Cle SP $8 Salazar was a must because I needed to add K’s after getting Weaver and Cashner.  Salazar has top of the rotation strike-out stuff, but I think people are over-paying in redraft leagues.  $8 is not bad and is actually below where i had him rated.

200 Austin Jackson, Det OF $4 Huge discount alert.  Some people were running out of money and I picked up a steal in Jackson at $4.  FantasyPros has him rated at $16 and I have him just below that at $15.  So excited about this buy.

203 Clay Buchholz, Bos SP $3 With a DL spot available he is definitely worth the gamble.  When healthy he is top of the rotation stuff and when he’s hurt he’s on the DL.  I recently heard Eno Sarris say the very same thing and it’s always good to have someone reassure you. Cueto went for $6 and he’s the same injury gamble.  Great when healthy and when he’s hurt you DL him.

209 Marco Estrada, Mil SP $3 I really like the Strike out upside and I didn’t want to overpay for him in a room of experts.  $3 was perfect for me as I had him rated as a $6 SP.

213 Brian Dozier, Min 2B $5 Bit of an overpay here, but I needed him because I had missed out out Gyorko to TraderX for $16.  I couldn’t go that high and now Dozier was my position punt.  Not that bad a punt though with his ability to go 20/15.

222 Adam Eaton, CWS OF $3 This late in the auction strategy came to the forefront.  I knew some of my other friends in the league wanted Eaton and their max bid left was $3, so I threw out an opening bid of $3 dollars on an outfielder that people want and they were stuck letting him go to me.  If he doesn’t end up in my starters maybe I can package him for a new 2B option.

256 Taijuan Walker*, Sea SP $2 I had $2 left and I had a DL spot to use so Taijuan Walker was a nice lottery ticket to get this late.  I would much rather have him sitting on my DL then spend $2 on Danny Haren or any other former decent fantasy pitcher.

The Worst Over Pays

Ben Zobrist for $25 – that was just crazy because his number have been declining for the last few years and you can’t pay a premium just on flexibility.

Yu Darvish for $36 – It’s never a good strategy to over pay for a stud Starting Pitcher and this case was no different.  His neck issues aside this was at least $8 too much for me.

Billy Hamilton for $21 – I know the hype train is in full effect, but this is still a ONE-Category guy that should not be going in the same price range as Matt Holiday or Alex Rios.

Bryce Harper and Steven Strasburg for a combine $72 – I don’t mean to pick on my good buddy Ricky Sanders here, but these were two overpays for me.  Sometimes you get caught up in the auction with your eyes focused on your targets and you blow your budget because of it.   It caught up to him at the end of the draft as his depth took a hit.

The Best Buys

Nolan Arenado for $1 – One dollar price tag was a little soul crushing for me as I paid a combined $17 for Panda and Moustakas.  I really like Arenado this year and I would have been a lot happier if I went Panda and Arenado and saved the Moustakas money to get Gyorko at 2B.

Austin Jackson for $4 – This guy score a ton of runs and he will steal bases.  His OB% is not ideal for an OB% league, but he is still worth at least 4x the cost.  I won’t even count the Upton buy because there was a lot of chatter in the message box when that was going on.  Distracted everyone.

Hisashi Iwakuma for $8 – Renee Miller picked up a nice injury steal here by getting the excellent Iwakuma for below market value.  I have Iwakuma as a $15 pitcher and would have loved to get him, but Renee made a great buy.

Aroldis Chapman for $5 – This was a really smart buy considering he will still pitch for at least 17 weeks of the season.  He cost the same as Booby Parnell who could lose his job the first month of the season.

 

Evan Longoria Injured

Well another season and another nagging injury for Evan Longoria.  This time it’s plantar factitious that has felled Evan Longoriathe power hitting third baseman of the Tampa Bay Rays.  If you drafted Longoria you probably had a back up plan in mind all along, but if you didn’t don’t go looking for any rusty knives just yet, I promise we can get through this.

Where do we start?

First let’s look at our own bench.

Do we have any guys that picked up 3B eligibility while we weren’t looking?

Edwin Encarnacion recently became 3B eligible in Yahoo leagues and you may have never noticed.  If so lucky you, plug him in over there and quickly go grab Adam Lind or  Eric Hosmer and you’re set for a few weeks.

How about Matt Carpenter?  Has he been scoring you runs at 2B and keeping guys that are starting to heat up on the bench?  Well slide him over to 3B and plug in the rejuvenated Rickie Weeks and roll with it for a while.

If you’re like me and traded away your insurance policy already, then we are going to need to look at the waiver wire.

1) Anthony Rendon- The kid has played like top draft pick he is after his second call up to the bigs and is still only owned in 37% of Yahoo Leagues.  His 2B eligibility may pay dividends down the line as you can move him around your infield.

2) Jose Iglesias- For a player that was supposed to be all glove and no bat he sure as hell looks to be the real deal.  His hits aren’t exactly laser show quality, but you can get a nice batting average bump while he’s hot.  It won’t last forever, but it may help for a few weeks.

3) Chris Johnson- Another guy that will really only help with one category as he is still hitting over .320.  His power numbers won’t help much, but if the Braves lineup starts hitting a little more he could get a nice bump.

4-5) Trevor Plouffe and Mike Moustakas- Plouffe and Moustakas were late round guys that were looking to take the next step towards big time major leaguer this year.  Plouffe has been injured and has been in and out of the line-up, but when he has been available he looks to have a lot of fantasy upside.  His swing has a lot of power potential and if the middle of the Twins lineup continues to hit he could pick up nice RBI numbers.  Moustakas has been a head ache most of the year and has only recently looked to be making strides.  His average has creeped up above the .210 mark and he has been driving the ball better.  He finally homered yesterday after not doing so in forever.  His runs and RBI’s have been missing though because of the struggles of everyone else in the Royals line-up.  He could have a huge second half and be a nice utility player for you when Longoria recovers.

6) Some names coming off the DL soon that could be nice backups to Longoria the rest of the year are Jedd Gyorko and Brett Lawrie.  Gyorko has shown he is major league ready before injuring his groin and is valuable with his 2B-3B eligibility.  Lawrie has been injury plagued as well as ineffective to start the year, and some confidence in the minors may be just what the doctor ordered.

For deeper leagues I would look to Alberto Callaspo and Matt Dominguez to fill in for a short time.  Maybe even Lonnie Chisenhall if he gets the AB’s.

Don’t Set It and Forget It

Fantasy baseball is not a “set it and forget it” endeavor.  You don’t draft a team and send it out into the worldSet it and forget it without having to constantly tinker with it.  You may have three different players play second base for you in any given month while also having a different frontline starter based on that particular week’s matchups.  If we listed all the closers that will inevitably be jumping in and out of our rosters we could be here all day.

 

Setting your lineup is a lot like playing the stock market.  You can only ignore the trends for so long until you miss the boat.  Whether it be buying, selling, dropping or picking up players, you have to look at all the available information in a timely manner.  Being aware of the vital statistics can make a stock or a free agent a must buy or a player on your roster an instant drop.

 

Sometimes a player is just getting extremely lucky and his statistics are heading for a correction.  I am trying to avoid stepping into these bear-traps, but it can be difficult to differentiate between luck and player turning a corner.  You may get burned by not checking his BAPIP (batting average on balls in play) or his FB/GB statistics.  Luckily, there are so many resources for today’s fantasy GM’s that weren’t available just a few years ago.  I can go to a multitude of sites to see all the vital statistics and more while even the free apps from sites like Yahoo break down the basic statistics over time periods.  I can notice a player is hot while watching a series on TV, check my phone and see he is hitting .350 this month and then go to any site to see if his power is coming as well.

 

Too many GM’s treat their lineups like they are mutual funds or pensions.  They buy in and either through laziness or ineptitude let them twist in the wind.  While they spend their nights catching up on Breaking Bad and old reruns of South Park (Editor’s Note: there is nothing wrong with watching either of these shows), their lineups go through ups and downs not seen since Enron.  You offer them a trade and they literally have to check the site to see who is on their roster.

 

I, on the other hand, tend to be overly attentive, almost to the detriment of my free time (hmmm, maybe that is why I’m only on Season 2 of Breaking Bad).  I tend to tinker constantly as I check my lineups key statistics and try and maximize every week in my head to head league.  I read every article possible on would-be call-ups so that I can try to solve some of my team’s issues without trying to trade.  If I am lagging early in the week in stolen bases I will put Starling Marte or Brett Gardner into my lineup.  If I am behind in runs scored, then Matt Carpenter will start at almost any position.  Power is tougher to find coming off the bench, but I may have just recently found a few gems.

 

The fact that my league is position specific for outfield has been a real challenge.  Right field has been considerably shallow and I have been forced to play Carpenter or Adrian Gonzalez there while I have Corey Hart stashed on the DL.  If I played Gonzalez in RF, then I suffer at first base, and vice-versa.  Then along came a Cuban defector named Yasiel Puig.  You may have heard of him.  He has exploded on the scene and solidified my line-up with his power and speed.

 

I know what you’re saying – hold your horses buddy.  It’s okay to get excited, but let’s not pretend he’s the second coming.  But what if he is the next Mike Trout or Bryce Harper?  It would be like adding a top 10 pick in the middle of the season for nothing.  How can you not get over-excited?  I know I am having trouble tempering my excitement and evaluating his current worth.

 

He could be a blip on the screen of my season or he could be guy to put me over the top.  We will all have to wait and see.  Many of my colleagues have been saying to sell high as we have all seen players do this before only to crash back down to earth, or worse, to the minors.  I even polled a few fantasy gurus to see what Puig was being traded for and names like Bryce Harper and Giancarlo Stanton were mentioned.  I would jump at the chance to acquire any of those guys, but that is not what is being offered to me at this point.   On the other hand, I am playing the wait and see game.  I am doing the old “I came with nothing and I’ll leave with nothing if God will’s it.”  I just don’t know if I can live with trading him for a marginal player if he goes on to play at even half of what he is currently showing.

 

Yasiel PuigThere is a ton of risk with what I am doing as the Dodgers looked to have a full outfield with Carl Crawford, Matt Kemp, and Andre Ethier when the year began.  Crawford and Kemp are currently on the DL, and Ethier has struggled for most of the season including getting benched before Puig was called up.  I am banking on Puig making it impossible to send him back down with his play on the field.  He was signed to a huge free agent contract so he is not one of these rookies whose service time is an issue and he has been setting records with every base hit.  He is electrifying a fan base that needed to wake up and probably hasn’t been this excited about a player since Fernandomania was running wild 30 years ago.  He also has gone from batting leadoff to batting fourth after only a week.  He has already arguably shown more potential in one week in the big leagues then Ethier has in seven years with the Dodgers.

 

Puig is not the only streaking player who has joined my team recently.  Adam Lind’s current form couldn’t be ignored as he hit over .400 over the last month and is even forcing his way into the lineup against lefties.  When the Blue Jays were forced to give up the DH in National League parks they decided to play Edwin Encarnacion at third base so that they could play Lind at first base to keep his hot bat in the lineup.  I know he probably won’t stay hot for long, but if I can get a productive month out of him then I am ahead of the game.  If there was a timeline for my lineup at first base it would read Gonzalez-Carpenter-Loney-and now Lind.  It might not be as easy as drafting Prince Fielder and trotting him out week after week, but if I end up winning the title it will be that much sweeter with all the hard work I put in.

This article originally was featured at www.FantasyJudgment.com

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