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Updated Top 20 Fantasy Basketball Rookies

Updated Top 20 Fantasy Basketball Rookies

With the season only a week away I figured there’s no better time than to finally update my rookie rankings.  Going into the draft I had some thoughts on certain players that have really changed after watching them in Summer League and in the preseason.  Some players are NBA ready and others are going to need some seasoning.  These rankings are for keeper/dynasty leagues.

  1. Karl-Anthony Towns
  2. D’Angelo Russell
  3. Kristaps Porzingis
  4. Jahlil Okafor
  5. Stanley Johnson   – Johnson was my biggest post draft mover and it all had to do with seeing how his game would fit at the next level.  I knew he had an NBA ready body, but I had no idea just how much his game was made for the NBA as opposed to college.
  6. Emmanuel Mudiay
  7. Justice Winslow
  8. Myles Turner – I was worried about Turner’s athleticism, but his long arms and nose for the shooter’s launch point have showed that he will continue to block shots at the next level.
  9. Mario Hezonja
  10. Willie Cauley-Stein
  11. Bobby Portis – I hate the landing spot, but I love Portis’s game.  He is ready for big minutes in a rotation, but may need to wait his turn in Chicago.
  12. Frank Kaminsky
  13. Devin Booker – Booker’s shooting ability and length could see him marked a little low down here, but I think it may take two to three years to see him break into heavy minutes.
  14. Trey Lyles
  15. Jerian Grant – Grant landing with the Knicks was the perfect spot for him.  He has the ability to beat out Calderon and is not held back in the least by playing in the triangle.  His deft cuts to the basket and athleticism will see him do well in that offense.
  16. Cameron Payne
  17. Rashad Vaughn
  18. Kelly Oubre – Oubre is far from ready, but he has a ton of upside in a year or two.
  19. Delon Wright
  20. RJ Hunter – Hunter showed a lot this preseason on defense with his long reach and could play his way into big wing minutes next year.

I love Terry Rozier and Joseph Young, but they just miss out on this list for me.

Top 20 Dynasty Fantasy Basketball Targets in the 2015 NBA Draft

Top 20 Dynasty Fantasy Basketball Targets in the 2015 NBA Draft

dangelo-russell

  1. Karl-Anthony Towns – Kentucky – Towns is a kid I have heard a ton about for a long time.  He’s from right around the corner here in New Jersey and I thought people were exaggerating when they talked about his ability to shoot the ball and move at his size.  Well they weren’t being “homers’ when they talked about him that’s for sure.  He has great length and and enough athleticism to become a top shot blocker and rebounder in the NBA and the skill to score inside or out whenever he gets the ball.  The upside for scoring with blocks thrown in is too good to pass up as the best Fantasy Basketball Draft target in this draft.
  2. D’Angelo Russell – Ohio State – Russell is as slick as they come.  He has great handles with pin-point accuracy when he fires his passes.  If he lands in a place where the big men don’t have stone hands he could be a top six point guard out of the gates.  His defense does need a bit of work, but what point guard was all world coming out of college after just one year.  His length and body type should make it easy for him to catch up in that area as he continues to fine tune his jumper.
  3. Kristaps Porzingis – Latvia – Porzingis is the type of player that is worth the risk associated with drafting a European player on upside in fantasy drafts.  His slight build will hold him up his first few seasons in the NBA, but his height at 7’1″ and shooting skills make him someone who could end up being the best player in this draft.  He has very nice athleticism to along with his size and from what I’ve seen he really enjoys being aggressive on both sides of the ball.  His aggressiveness on defense was especially nice to see as he can be a weapon when going for blocks.
  4. Jahlil Okafor – Duke – Okafor is one of the best low-post scorers to come out in the draft in a long time.  He can score twenty and grab eight rebounds a night with out getting one ounce better at the next level.  For him to be a great fantasy asset he will have to become an even more aggressive rebounder and figure out a way to use his smarts to protect the rim.  People talk about him like he’s Enes Kanter, but in reality I think he can develop a bunch on the defensive side of the ball.
  5. Emmanuel Mudiay – China (Via-USA) – Mudiay is a guy I really like.  I loved him coming out of high school and thought he had a chance to be the top player in this draft.  He has the size and athleticism that you just can’t teach a player.  He also has blazing quickness which makes him a threat to break down a defense at will.  His issue has been his jump shot, but I have heard conflicting reports on how it looked in China, with some reports saying it didn’t get better, while others said it looked retooled and solid enough to make defenses respect it.  He is a fit with the Lakers, 76ers and the Knicks, but he may slide if they all pass on him for others in the top four.  He can play shooting guard, but I think that would put too much pressure on his jump shot at an early stage.
  6. Justice Winslow – Duke – I love wings who can shoot the ball and defend.  Why?  Because those type of players are always on the court.  In today’s NBA you need wings that can lock down the opposing team’s best scorers and space the floor with a real 3-point shot threat to open up your offense.  Winslow can do both really well already.  He came in a little shorter than most thought, but I’m not as worried about that as others as he has the body type and strength to still guard the small forward position.
  7. Mario Hezonja – Croatia – Hezonja is the player you need to add if you need 3-point shooting and scoring.  He doesn’t seem to be athletic enough to cover the really quick wings int he NBA and that scares me for his playing time.  If he lands on a team with a player that can switch off to cover the better offensive player and hide him a bit defensively than he’ll be a steal with his shooting and scoring prowess.
  8. Devin Booker – Kentucky – Booker is a knock down shooter with ideal body length to play the shooting guard position in the NBA.  He even has nice strength on his frame for his age where I think he will compete right away for a starting spot.  His game has been compared to Klay Thompson‘s so it’s worth taking him around this area if you need 3 point shooting and scoring.
  9. Willie Cauley-Stein – Kentucky – Cauley-Stein has an NBA ready skill when it comes to shot blocking and defending the rim as he enters the NBA.  he will rebound because of his elite length and athleticism, but will he score enough to make him a big time fantasy asset.  I’m not sure if we can project him to be Dion Jordan type dominant, but he could be Tyson Chandler-esque.  If he ends up on a team that runs the floor he could put up huge rookie numbers while he learns how he fits into an NBA offense.
  10. Myles Turner – Texas – Turner is a player that probably should be a lot higher on this list, but I found myself putting him here because of his slight build.  He can shoot the ball and is an excellent help defender so he should crack a rotation right away, but big minutes will be tough to come by until he can put some muscle and weight on.  If you need to gamble on a scoring big man on your team I would take Turner in this spot.
  11. Stanley Johnson – Arizona – Stanley Johnson is a bit of a conundrum for me.  He is physically strong and decently athletic, but I’m not sure he is quick enough to guard NBA Small Forwards.  His body type makes for an interesting fit defensively, but he has skills, if not inconsistent, to score in many ways on the offensive side of the ball.  He is actually projected to go in the draft right in the area where he could see a lot of early playing time.
  12. Trey Lyles – Kentucky – I really love Lyles’s feel for the game.  He has soft hands and nice passing ability and can score and rebound.  Defensively he will hold his own and he should be a nice addition to any team as a potential starting power forward in the future.  If he had better length and could actually play the five in the NBA he would have more value, but if he lands on a team with a big need at PF he could pay dividends early.
  13. Sam Dekker – Wisconsin – Dekker has nice size at 6’9″  and can score the basketball.  Sometimes guys get a knock because of how well they fit into their college system and this may be the case with Dekker.  If he lands in the right spot he is a guy who should see a lot of playing time as long as he can guard the SF spot in the NBA.
  14. Cameron Payne – Murray State – Payne is an all around point guard who has the ability to be special.  I like his speed and handle and his vision for passing.  As always it will come down to if he can defend the position at only 6’2″ in the NBA, but I think he will be fine.  If he lands on a point guard needy team you have to be happy.  If he lands as a back-up to Russel Westbrook well than he’s a stash.
  15. Bobby Portis -Arkansas – Portis is a finished product.  He is going to score and rebound and hustle his butt off.  He is not going to block a ton of shots, but he will contribute just because he will be in the tough areas all the time.  I can see him being a double double type of player int he right system or a rotational power forward who can help you when injuries hit.  Safe pick IMO.
  16. Frank Kaminsky – Wisconsin – Kaminsky can score the basketball in many ways.  He has goofy and effective low post moves that remind some of a goofier Kevin McHale and he has a shot that can go all the way out to the three point line.  He will compete on defense and is smart about positioning and blocking out for defensive rebounds.  He’s the type of guy who could find himself in and out of rotations based on his shooting and defense so I gave him a bit of a knock, but I do like him.  In the right system he could move all the way up to 10th overall in my rookie mocks.
  17. Kevon Looney – UCLA – Looney is going to need to have his hip fixed so he will be a draft and stash for a year, but he has enough upside that he is worth it.  He has excellent size and a nice inside outside game to be a featured player at the Power Forward Position down the road.  Love the upside with a stash pick this late.
  18. Kelly Oubre – Kansas – Oubre has the ideal slasher size for a small forward at 6’7″ and just over 200 pounds.  If he can learn the NBA game and get NBA strong he has a ton of potential.  At this point you need to gamble on future upside and Oubre is worth it to me.
  19. Joseph Young – Oregon – All I hear about the kid is that no one can stay in front of him and he’s got a shot and range to go with it.  I like those things especially late in fantasy rookie drafts where players start to become single category types.  If young lands in the right spot he could be a steal.
  20. Justin Anderson – Virginia – Anderson has a great body type and game to guard the big wings in the NBA.  He also has the potential to be a nice floor spacer with a 3 Point shot and good enough athleticism to finish.  He has to work on his handle and passing, but he could be a guy that contributes a lot more than we think because of his ability to stay on the floor.

Other who were under consideration are the point guards Jerian Grant of Notre Dame, Delon Wright of Utah (Great size and wing span) and Tyus Jones of Duke and shooting guards R.J. Hunter of Georgia State and Rashad Vaughn out of UNLV.  There are a few Power forward rotational types that could find themselves with nice fantasy appeal if they land on a PF needy team like Jarell Martin out of LSU and Cliff Alexander of Kansas.

In all, this crop of Fantasy Basketball Rookie prospects are a bit top heavy.  I would weigh the top four to six picks heavily over the rest of the draft.  If someone was trying to move up for say pick 11 to pick 4 it would take a haul to get up there.  Forget about trading out of the top three in this year’s Dynasty Fantasy Basketball Rookie Drafts.
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Fantasy Basketball Shooting Guard and Small Forward Rankings

Episode 042: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Basketball Shooting Guard and Small Forward Rankings

Featuring Russell Peddle (@rustypedalbike) numberFire and The Stretch Zero

Russell PeddleAbout My Guest:  NBA and fantasy hoops writer at numberFireRaptorsHQ contributor, The Stretch Zero co-founder, ESL teacher, semi-pro musician, poutine aficionado.

– The Stretch Zero: http://thestretchzero.com/
Show Rundown

You can Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.

Don’t miss the other episodes in the Fantasy Basketball Series:

Point Guards with Ricky Sanders of RotoExperts

Power Forwards with Josh Honses of FakeRoundBall

Centers with Jonathan Vandersluis of SportableNFL

Fantasy Basketball Center Rankings

Episode 041: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Basketball Center Rankings Podcast

Featuring Jonathan Vandersluis (@Jonathan_TTF) SportableNFL

Jonathan Vandersluis Owner/Managing Editor TopTeamFantasy.com

Jonathan Vandersluis

About My Guest:  Jonathan has been playing fantasy sports for almost a decade, first football and then quickly to baseball and basketball too, and founded TopTeamFantasy.com in 2013. With Top Team Fantasy retired Jonathan now contributes to SportableNFL.  He has always been a numbers guy, so fantasy sports provided the perfect place for him to combine his analytical skills with his passion for sports. Jonathan makes Toronto, Canada his home, but loves to travel every chance he gets and explore new places. Follow Jonathan on Twitter@Jonathan_TTF, he’d be glad to answer any of your questions and help you win your fantasy league.

 

Show Rundown: 

You can Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.

Don’t miss the other episodes in the Fantasy Basketball Series:

Point Guards with Ricky Sanders of RotoExperts

Power Forwards with Josh Honses of FakeRoundBall

Fantasy Basketball Power Forward Rankings

Episode 040: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Basketball Power Forward Rankings Podcast

Featuring Josh Honses (@SaidHeHadaStory) of FakePigskin.com

Screen Shot 2014-10-24 at 7.42.32 PMAbout My Guest:  Josh is currently a student at the University of New Orleans working towards his degree in Civil Engineering. He grew up as an avid sports fan, and decided to take his love of numbers and apply them to fantasy sports. Currently he is the lead writer, content manager, and editor for FakeRoundball.  He writes and edits weekly articles that focus on Daily Fantasy Sports and season long leagues in fantasy basketball and football. He is always willing to give his advice and opinions on Twitter, so feel free to contact him anytime @SaidHeHadAStory. Standard data and message rates apply. 

Josh’s top 150 in Fantasy Basketball 2014-2015

 

Episode Rundown:  

Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.

 

Don’t miss the other episodes in the Fantasy Basketball Series:

Point Guards with Ricky Sanders of RotoExperts

 

Fantasy Basketball Point Guard Rankings

Episode 039: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Basketball Point Guard Rankings Podcast

Featuring: Ricky Sanders (RSandersRX) of RotoExperts.com

 

Ricky Sanders of RotoExperts.com

Ricky Sanders of RotoExperts.com

About My Guest:  After starting several freelance Fantasy Sports blogs, Ricky caught his first break in the Fantasy industry when he joined Going9Baseball.com. He was also a contributor to FakePigskin.com and FantasyBasketballMoneyLeagues.com before becoming a member of the RotoExperts staff. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Don’t hesitate to contact him with your questions on Twitter @RSandersRX.

Recent Articles:

Premium:

http://rotoexperts.com/81842/bust-guards-sanders/

Show Rundown:

Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.  

 

2014 Fantasy Basketball Rankings

2014 Fantasy Basketball Rankings

Stephen-Curry PG

So much for the Lebron James or  Kevin Durant debate that inevitably led up to almost every fantasy basketball draft of the last few years.  Kevin Durant suffered a fractured metatarsal that could be tough to heal as the blood flow to that particular area of the foot can affect healing.

So now the debate becomes just how far we let Durant slide down the rankings as he will miss at least 20 games.  The conversation also shifts to Anthony Davis and his ascension to the rarefied air of top three fantasy basketball draft status.  For me, Davis was already in the third spot before the Durant injury and finds himself in the number two overall spot, just behind Lebron.

Rookies like Jabari Parker and Andrew Wiggins are rookies that cannot be ignored on draft day, as they are elite scorers with multi-category potential.  Sensational sophomore Giannis Antetokounmpo could be the starting point guard in Milwaukee and even if he doesn’t win the job, he will definitely handle the ball more this season which will lead to more fantasy numbers.

The injuries to Jodie Meeks and Bradley Beal further cloud the shooting guard rankings for 2014.  Can Kobe be Kobe and can Dwayne Wade get back to filling up the stat sheet with Lebron moved on to Cleveland.

At the Center position Rudy Gobert could push Enes Kanter to the bench with his improved all around game and needs to be handcuffed if you invest a pick in Kanter or Derek Favors.  Gobert offers a real rim protector and has worked on his offensive game.  If Kanter struggles Gobert could see big minutes.

Keep checking back for updated rankings as the preseason finishes up.

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Fantasy Basketball: Rookies Fighting For Minutes

NBA Summer League

Two weeks ago I went over the rookies that were the best fit for their respective organizations and talked about how they might fare in their rookie season.  This week I will talk about some draftees that will be fighting for minutes in a rotational role that could see them having occasional daily fantasy value and or spot start value in deeper fantasy basketball leagues.  Most of these rookies that I will discuss could still be affected by trades and or late signings in free agency.

Aaron Gordon: Orlando Magic 4th Pick- Aaron Gordon was a bit of a surprise with the fourth overall pick in the 2014 NBA Draft.  Gordon was looked at as a bit of a raw prospect that could go off the board from the 6th to 10th pick of the first round, but instead found himself picked by a young rebuilding Magic team.  Many fantasy basketball players were hoping the Magic would finally hand the keys to the power forward spot over to Tobias Harris full-time, but it looks like Harris will once again be a part of a rotation with the athletically gifted Gordon.  Gordon was touted for his explosive athleticism in the draft process, but his shaky shooting, including from the free throw line, had him as a bit of an offensive project.  He will have to learn how to contribute on the defensive end if he’s going to get big minutes, but his speed and ability to finish in transition could have him carving out a role off the bench fairly early.

Marcus Smart: Boston Celtics 6th Pick- Many basketball fans believe that Marcus Smart cost himself a lot of money by going back to school after his stellar season in 2012 at Oklahoma State.  While that may be true as he found himself in the middle of one of the strongest draft classes in recent memory in 2014, he still managed to become a lottery pick with a team that has a history of building winners.   Smart brings a ton of fight and leadership when he’s on the floor.  He can make his teammates better and should be one of the better defenders in the league right away.  He has excellent hands with a strong frame that allows him to body up point guards or shooting guards.  Smart should be in the back court rotation right away and could even see some time on the court with Rajon Rondo.  He needs to become a better shooter if he wants to really grab big minutes and you should keep an eye on his efficiency.

Nik Stauskas: Sacramento Kings 8th Pick- Stauskas was billed as the best shooter in this draft with a superior competitiveness that should see him become a valuable member of an NBA rotation right away.  Stauskas found himself taken by a team that drafted a shooting guard just last year.  Stauskas will be in a training camp and preseason fight for shooting guard minutes with Ben McLemore.  The two of them may also have some competition from Marshon Brooks who played well with Sacramento’s summer league team.  Stauskas has an edge on both shooting guards as he is a better shooter in both catch and shoot situations and when he is forced to handle the basketball.

Noah Vonleh: Charlotte Hornets 9th Pick- Vonleh looked to be the late riser of the 2014 NBA draft as analysts started projecting him as high as the 3rd overall pick in the days leading up to the draft.  His enormous wingspan and nice outside touch had scouts and GM’s dreaming about two or three years down the road and the possibility of a super star on the lower blocks.  The Charlotte Hornets finally lucked out in a draft as Vonleh fell all the way to the ninth overall pick to a team that had their best season in recent memory.  The Hornets lost Josh McRoberts in free agency to the Miami Heat so Vonleh will at least get a portion of those minutes if he can provide energy and defense off of the bench.  I believe he will see more early minutes than Cody Zeller saw last season and should be looked at as a late round flier in redraft leagues.

Zach LaVine: Minnesota Timberwolves 13th Pick- LaVine is a 6’6″ combo guard who can jump out of the gym and shoot from deep.  He’s skinny and didn’t play a ton last season at UCLA,  but could see minutes early in Minny if does indeed trade away Kevin Love.  If Love stays then I doubt we see much of LaVine until the latter parts of the season, but if Love is moved I think the Timberwolves may try to get him some run and see what pieces they will want to move forward with.  I like LaVine a lot more in dynasty leagues than redraft leagues this year.

T.J. Warren: Phoenix Suns 15th Pick- Warren is slashing scorer from the wing who can contribute right away on the offensive end of the court.  He has all the tools to be a solid wing defender, but asking rookies to take on too much responsibility can lead to disaster and the Suns are ready to compete right now.  I expect Warren to see run fairly early and would love if the Suns eventually moved either Marcus Morris or P.J. Tucker.  Warren has ton of scoring potential for dynasty formats and may be a nice late round flier in deeper redraft leagues.

Mitch McGary: Oklahoma City Thunder 21st Pick- McGary was facing a drug suspension at the University of Michigan so he decided to come out for the draft early.  Initially I thought it was a mistake and could be one of those cautionary tales you hear year after year, but McGary proved to be NBA rady in the draft process.  McGary is big and can run.  He should be able to carve out minutes for himself off of the bench for the Thunder and a few years down the road he could end up being one of their key players.  He’s an excellent shooter and plays with a ton of energy.  I’m going to keep an eye out to see how they intend to rotate their front court to see if he should be on the redraft radar.

Rodney Hood: Utah Jazz 23rd Pick- The Jazz had an excellent draft in 2014.  First they got a potential explosive force in Dante Exum with the 5th pick and then they got Hood with the 23rd pick.  If Hood had been drafted in any of the previous two to three drafts he would have been a lottery pick.  You just don’t find shooters with his wingspan and height every year.  This draft just happened to be chock full of talent.  Hood still should have gone a bit earlier than he did, but landing in Utah is not a bad spot for him.  The Jazz were a poor shooting team from 3 point range last season and their wings failed to be consistent catch and shoot threats.  Hood brings and NBA ready three point shot and his size is perfect for the NBA wing.

Damien Inglis: Milwaukee Bucks 1st Pick 2nd Round- The Bucks are the perfect landing spot for Inglis as they have a very unsettled front court.  He has a huge wing span (7’3″) on a 6’8″ body and should be able to play on the defensive end of the court right away.  He will give you defensive stats right away, but you shouldn’t count on offensive production right away.  A nice stash for dynasty leagues.  We’ll see if he can evolve into an offensive player.

Nick Johnson: Houston Rockets 12th Pick 2nd Round- I’m not sure why Nick Johnson fell in the 2014 NBA draft, but it looks like the Rockets got an absolute steal in the 2nd round.  Johnson was the best player on a very good Arizona team last season.  He can shoot it from outside and from the line.  He has unbelievable hops on a 6’3″ frame and is an excellent finisher when he drives to the basket.  His height made him more of a combo guard and perhaps the metrics said he wouldn’t be able to defend either position in the NBA.  I’m just guessing because this is the type of player any fan should want on their team and he has the potential to be a very valuable fantasy asset down the road.  He gets a bump with the Rockets clearing cap space and trading away Jeremy Lin to the Lakers as it opens up some minutes off of the bench.

Honorable Mentions:

Gary Harris Jr.: Denver Nuggets

Adreian Payne: Atlanta Hawks

Bruno Caboclo: Toronto Raptor

For my thoughts on the best fits that may play right away go here.

Fantasy Basketball: 2014 NBA Draft Reaction

 

Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images

Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images

 

Best Fits:

Andrew Wiggins Kansas/Cleveland Cavaliers 1st Overall:  The Cavs have failed miserably in recent drafts to find a running mate for Kyrie Irving.  Dion Waiters has proven time and time again that it just doesn’t work when he shares the backcourt with Kyrie.  Anthony Bennett was an abject failure in his first year in the league after being picked 1st overall in 2013.  The Cavs got a bit unlucky in 2012 picking 4th in that draft.  They just missed the perfect player to pair with Kyrie in Bradley Beal who went 3rd overall to the Wizards.  We all know what the partnership of Beal and Wall looked like last year in D.C.  Then last year they hit the lottery in a bad draft.  Bennett seemed to be the best fit as a scoring power forward prospect with some range and then his rookie year happened.  Well all that is in the past as the Cavs hit the lottery in the right year this time.  There were as many as four players that could have been argued as the best overall prospect in the 2014 draft, but almost none had the upside that Andrew Wiggins has.  Wiggins will come into the league with freak athleticism and a better than average jump shot to go along with his next level defensive skills.  He should fill up the stat sheet from day one even though he won’t be a ball dominant player in the Cavs’ offense.  In a few years he could be the entire focus of the Cavs offense if everything develops the right way.  With Kyrie resigned this could be the beginning of a rebirth in Cleveland.

Jabari Parker Duke/Milwaukee Bucks 2nd Overall:  The Bucks were desperate for a face of the franchise and they couldn’t have done any better than getting Parker in the 2 slot.  I feel for last year’s head coach Larry Drew who was a good soldier and helped the team tank all the way up to the second pick in the loaded 2014 draft.  Drew was fired after the Bucks had already traded for Jason Kidd from the Brooklyn Nets.  Now Kidd gets to look smart as he unleashes the NBA ready Parker on the Bucks’ opponents.  Parker may be slowed down in his year one production by the shoot first point guard play of Brandon knight, but I expect that to work itself out over time.  Parker is the closest thing to Carmelo Anthony to come into the league since Anthony left Syracuse early.  He will be a beast for years to come so don’t hesitate to draft him even in year one.

Julius Randle Kentucky/Los Angeles Lakers 7th Overall: The Lakers had to be jumping for joy when Randle fell to them at 7 in the 2014 NBA draft.  Randle could have easily gone in the top three if any of those teams had needed a power forward that is going to bang and fight his way to a double double almost every night.  He’s a man’s man.  He will fight for every rebound and actually knows how to box out because he can’t rely on superior leaping ability or wing span.  He’s been compared to Zach Randolph in the draft process and that seems pretty spot on especially if he can develop a mid-range jumper to go with his finishing in the paint.  He should score and rebound right away with the Lakers’ front court minutes up for grabs, but he may lack some defensive statistical production until he learns how to defend in the NBA.

Elfrid Payton Louisiana Lafayette/Orlando Magic (via trade w/ Phil.) 10th Overall: The Magic looked like a team without a plan last year when they selected Victor Oladipo 4th overall and then didn’t know whether to play him at the point or at the two-guard.  It looks like they finally made a decision in the off season that Oladipo is better off at the 2.  Payton being traded for on draft day cements that thought as he’s a point guard all the way.  He’s young, fast, long and is already a very good defender. Just like most point guards that come into the league he has a bit of a broken jump shot.  That being said he and Oladipo probably form the best young defensive backcourt in the game.  There should be steals and fast breaks galore with these two and the fourth overall pick in 2014 Aaron Gordon in the fold.  I like the fit for Payton with the Magic especially with them waiving Jameer Nelson recently.

Doug McDermott Creighton/Chicago Bulls (via trade w/Denver.) 11th Overall: The Bulls lacked shooters last year and it really hurt when they got to the playoffs.  Mike Dunleavy and Tony Snell were hot and cold much of the year.  When they were cold the Bulls were a tough team to watch as teams would just double Noah and Boozer without worrying about wide open threes.  As long as the Bulls don’t get Carmelo Anthony in free agency McDermott has clear path to minutes and shots.  He should immediately help fantasy owners in three pointer made, shooting percentages and scoring.  Bill Simmons mentioned it on draft night and it was so true that this trade was rumored for months before the draft and then it actually happened on draft night.

Shabazz Napier UCONN/Miami Heat (via trade w/Charlotte) 24th Overall:  Napier was so fun to watch in UConn’s run to a championship that it’s funny to think that he fell all the way down to 24th overall.  The complete opposite can be said of the point guard play in Miami in their finals loss to the San Antonio Spurs.  The Heat were rumored to be all over Napier and they got their man in a trade with the Hornets.  Napier should play big minutes right away and help the Heat by making smart passes as well as being able to drive into the paint to help free up LeBron and Wade.  Of course his value and fit have a lot to do with what happens with the big three in free agency, but for now it looks to be the second best fit for a rookie point guard.

Kyle Anderson UCLA/San Antonio Spurs 30th Overall: Anderson to the Spurs made so much sense that it made some people sick just to say it.  A high basketball IQ point forward who can dish the basketball as well as score it in different ways.  He’s like a point guard stuck in a 6’9″ slow body.  On any other team I would have probably said to look elsewhere, but with the Spurs he could find himself in  Boris Diaw’s sooner than later.  He’ll be a sneaky bet to help you in your assists category if he gets some rookie year minutes.  Just don’t ask Pop if he’s gonna play.  Pop doesn’t like questions.

K.J. McDaniels Clemson/Philadelphia 76ers 2nd pick of the 2nd Round: So what was it the 76ers lacked last year?  Oh yeah, DEFENSE!  McDaniels was looked at leading up to the draft as a mid 1st round pick that could immediately see minutes as an elite wing defender that can finish at the basket.  He slipped to the 2nd round and the 76ers and fantasy basketball players look to be the beneficiaries.  The 76ers lacked anyone that could lock down an opposing player last year and were forced into a ton of shoot outs.  McDaniels could see big minutes right away and should see an uptick in scoring production if the rest of the 76ers defense continues to struggle.

Cleanthony Early Wichita State/New York Knicks 4th pick of the 2nd Round: Cleanthony Early was looked at as a late first round pick that would contribute right away for a contender.  Instead he fell to the top of the second round where the Knicks got an excellent piece for their team.  The Knicks struggled at the small forward position last year when Carmelo Anthony would slide over to the four.  Sometimes Tim Hardaway Jr. would be asked to play the three and he struggled mightily when he was asked to.  Metta World Peace was supposed to give the Knicks the freedom to use Anthony as a stretch four, but that didn’t work out.  Early can score inside or outside and has a 6’11” wingspan on his 6’7″ body that allows him to rebound well and defend even bigger fours.  He could see minutes right away with the Knicks’ frontcourt a bit of a question mark and he would benefit greatly if Carmelo would happen to sign elsewhere.

Honorable Mention: Dante Exum Australia/Utah Jazz 3rd Overall: I’m a big believer in Exum’s talent, but the fit wasn’t the best for me, at least for year one.  He goes to a team with a young point guard already in tow in Trey Burke and they also have two other players that look to be part of their plans in Gordon Hayward and Alec Burks that like to be in possession of the ball.  I think it will take some time for the Jazz to figure out how to use all of their pieces and in the meantime it will hurt Exum’s year one production.  Honestly, I would have loved to see him land somewhere else, but I still think he’s a top three pick in dynasty leagues.  Huge upside!

Make sure you check back next week when I’ll put some words together about some rookies that may be able to fight their way to meaningful minutes and which high upside rookies you should target in your dynasty drafts.

My Pre 2014 NBA Draft Thoughts can be found here.

You can catch all of my latest podcasts by grabbing the feed (http://www.coachesser.com/feed/podcast/) or by subscribing on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.

 

 

 

2014 NBA Draft: Fantasy Basketball Outlook

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I have to admit I haven’t been this excited about an NBA draft since LeBron was taking his talents to the NBA.  The injury to Joel Embiid can’t even dampen my mood.  There are players all throughout this draft that are going to be big time dynasty fantasy basketball assets, and a few are going to help people win some fantasy titles this year.

My Top 20 Fantasy Prospects

Andrew Wiggins 6’8″ Kansas   Andrew Wiggins is so explosively athletic that it will be tough to not picture him being the best player to come out of this draft.  He has an excellent jump shot to go along with his freakish athletic ability and ideal size.  He will play the two or the three right away when he gets into the NBA as his game doesn’t need much work even though he is a one and done college prospect.  I suggest you make a significant trade offer to get up to the one spot in your dynasty rookie draft to pick Wiggins.

Joel Embiid 7’0″ Kansas  Embiid is a bit of a gamble at the second spot in my rankings because of his injury history, but I think he’s going to be worth the gamble.  His offensive game grew by leaps and bounds this season as he developed a low post game and a decent mid range jumper to go along with his NBA ready defensive ability.  The foot injury that will keep him out for the beginning of the season along with the back injury that cost him his chance to help Kansas win a title will see him slide in your rookie drafts.  Don’t let him get past you.  There just aren’t enough skilled big men in the game and he could develop into one of the better ones in the entire NBA.

Jabari Parker 6’8″ Duke  I would like Parker a whole lot more if he was more athletic and better defensively.  Basically Parker is going to score a bunch no matter where he goes.  He’s a great shooter who can get to the rim and can shoot off the dribble and on the move.  He’s not the best defender and it will be interesting to see which position he ends up guarding on the defensive end of the floor.  He’s too small to guard legit fours and may be too big to stick with quicker wing players.  Even with all of that you can see him go as high as 1st overall in your rookie drafts because he can score and shoot the 3 with ease.

Julius Randle 6’9″ Kentucky Randle has an issue with his foot that may require surgery and if it does post draft you may see him tumble down some rookie drafts.  I wouldn’t let him slip past this spot because of what he can do in the paint.  Think Z-Bo lite.  Randle is a true power forward who enjoys banging on the block and has the hands and athleticism to finish inside.  He probably will be the first from this class to average a double double and could be that source of rebounds your team is lacking.

Dante Exum 6’6″ Australia All I know about Exum is what I have seen on YouTube and on some scouting sites.  He is a freakish athlete that is long and can handle the ball.  He is an excellent passer and possesses a body that can develop into a huge miss match at the point guard position in the NBA.  He may not contribute to your fantasy team year one as he will need a little bit of time to develop, but he could end up being Russell Westbrook-like if he develops as many think he will.

Noah Vonleh 6’10” Indiana Vonleh is another youngster that came out of college early.  He is big and fast with long arms and excellent range for such a young big.  He could pitch in with some decent numbers as a rookie, but he has an excellent upside as a big that can fill multiple categories.

Aaron Gordon 6’9″ Arizona Gordon is an unfinished product coming out of college, but there are two things he can do really well.  He can defend and he can run the floor and finish above the rim.  He should be able to contribute in steals, rebounds and the occasional points barrage when he gets in the pen floor, but his real value is down the road if he develops a jumper with some range.  He could be Shawn Marion or he could be even better, either way he will help your fantasy team.

Zach LaVine 6’6″ UCLA LaVine is a stash that you’re going to have to reach for.  Players with his athleticism and and shooting ability don’t fall in rookie drafts even if they are two seasons away from contributing.  I’m excited about his upside, but I may let him go past this spot if I am in a position to win now.

Dario Saric 6’10” Croatia Saric is a stash at this point because he decided to stay in Europe for at least another two years.  He would have been a top ten pick in the draft had he decided to make the jump this year, but alas his decision may benefit you as he slides down rookie draft boards.  He could develop into one of those bigs that fills almost every category as he already has NBA range on his jump shot.

Marcus Smart 6’3″ Oklahoma State Smart made the headlines for all the wrong reasons this year.  He could have been a top five pick if he came out last year, but this year he will end up a big piece on a better team.  I think he can be better than Kyle Lowry and we all know what Lowry did this year in fantasy.

Elfrid Payton 6’4″ Louisiana Lafayette Payton has a lot of speed and toughness and can already run and defend at an NBA level.  He will have to put on some muscle, but he could be a steal for a fantasy team that needs some youth at the point guard position.

Tyler Ennis 6’3″ Syracuse Ennis would be in the top 5 if he was 6’6″, but instead he’s 6’3″ and will fall in the NBA draft.  Ennis is a great passer and floor general who has some range on his shot and can defend.  If he develops an NBA 3 point shot he would be a steal down there.

Adreian Payne 6’10” Michigan State Payne can stretch the floor playing the four or the five in the NBA and should be able to defend and rebound right away.  I like Payne for all of these reasons, but he could be a guy you might get a little later than here because he lacks ideal athletic upside.

Doug McDermott 6’8″ Creighton Dougie Buckets as he’s known in draft circles is going to be a volume scorer that will help your team in 3P% and FT% while scoring his fair share.  I realy like McDermott and am going to target him anywhere I need a boost in threes and in percentages.

Nik Stauskas 6’7″ Michigan Stauskas is arguably the best shooter in this draft and should be a weapon in the NBA right away.  I will also try and target him in leagues where I lack three point shooting and where I have some guys bringing down my three point percentages.  I would rather take him at the end of the second round ideally in most rookie drafts.

PJ Hairston 6’5″ North Carolina I really wonder where we would be talking about Hairston going in this NBA draft if he didn’t get in trouble at North Carolina.  I love his athleticism and his shooting and he has a big strong two guard body that could cause some real match up problems in the NBA.  I realy love Hairston and his value could skyrocket if he lands in a really good spot.

James Young 6’8″ Kentucky Young is a really good shooter and is built to play the three in the NBA.  Teams love to use long threes that can stretch the floor and hit the corner three while also slashing to the basket and Young can do all of it.  He may take some time to develop, but don’t be fooled if he slips in the NBA draft.

Gary Harris 6’5″ Michigan State Harris is going to benefit from being a complete guard that can score and defend at the next level.  He should be in for big rookie minutes and will fill lots of categories for your fantasy team.  He just doesn’t have the elite upside that others have above him in my rankings.  Very solid second round pick though.

Shabazz Napier 6’1″ UCONN Napier is a bit undersized to play the point at an elite level in the NBA and is a bit older for an ideal dynasty pick, but he can score and is a tenacious defender.  He should be in line for minutes right away where ever he lands in the draft and if he lands i the right spot he could flourish.

Glen Robinson III 6’7″ Michigan Robinson is a real talent that was a bit of an enigma in college.  He can score with his athleticism and can defend when motivated.  He needs to work on his jumper, but I don’t see why he can’t fix it at the next level.

Let me know who I missed in the 2014 NBA Draft and what you think either here or on Twitter @Coachesser.

Adreian Payne