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Thursday Night NFL DFS Options

Thursday Night NFL DFS Options

Pittsburgh Steelers

Michael Vick (FanDuel 6700, DraftKings 5000)

Le’Veon Bell (FanDuel 8900, DraftKings 7700)

Antonio Brown (FanDuel 8900, DraftKings 9200)

Heath Miller (FanDuel 5500, DraftKings 3700)

Darrius Heyward-Bey (FanDuel 5100, DraftKings 3600)

Markus Wheaton (FanDuel 5000, DraftKings 3500)

Baltimore Ravens

Joe Flacco (FanDuel 8000, DraftKings 6000)

Justin Forsett (FanDuel 6700, DraftKings 6000)

Steve Smith (FanDuel 7300, DraftKings 6200)

Maxx Williams (FanDuel 4700, DraftKings 2500)

I’m a huge believer in getting exposure to the Thursday through Monday slates in NFL DFS.  Most of the public is eager to play and usually overplay the stars that happen to be playing on Thursday nights.  This week is no different as many lineups will feature Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, but those aren’t the players that will be in my lineups.  I am fading almost everyone in this game, but I will have Steve Smith in some Thursday start cash lineups and Maxx Williams in some GPP lineups with Crockett Gilmore out this week.

Smith has been a beast the last few weeks and his value is best on DraftKings where his volume and 10+ catch games get you the most bang for your DFS bucks.  Maxx Williams was targeted quite a bit after Gilmore left the game against the Bengals on Sunday and he looked good doing it.  Joe Flacco and Marc Trestman really like using the tight end behind the linebackers and in front of the safeties and Williams is at the minimum price this week on DK.  I even through him in some Thursday start GPPs on FanDuel even though I really like some TE match ups for other players this week.  If you need to root for someone tonight in DFS, your best bet is Steve Smith in cash games on DraftKings.

Good luck everyone and make sure to check back for my Stacks Post.

NFL Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings

NFL Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings

With the Patriots and Titans on a bye there will be fantasy teams scrambling for wide receivers on the waiver wire and possibly looking for spot start QBs with both Tom Brady and Marcus Mariota on a bye.  The big movers up the rankings board this week are Latavius Murray, Karlos Williams, James Jones, Rishard Matthews, and Coby Fleener.  Murray has been outstanding for the Raiders and benefits from the development of second year signal caller Derek Carr.  He also sees a bit of a softer box with Amari Cooper torching opposing defenses for big yards.  Karlos Williams should get the start for the Buffalo Bills and faces a Giants Defense that has been okay against the run, but may have a tough time holding up in Buffalo.  James Jones has become the clear cut number two WR for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.  He is scoring and I am a believer that he could finish the year inside the top 24 of Fantasy WRs.  Keep checking the rankings this week as more injury information becomes available and good luck!

FantasyPros and FanDuel Week 2 DFAC Results

FantasyPros and FanDuel Week 2 DFAC Results


After a rough week 1 in the FantasyPros and FanDuel DFAC, I came back with a top 15 finish in week 2. I was very surprised I was able to cash with both of my running backs having sub-par days.  My running back selections weren’t my biggest issue on the week.  Two New Orleans Saints cost me big time as I had the under-performing Brandin Cooks and the minimum priced Zach Hocker in my lineup.  Playing Brandin Cooks cost me double because it meant I had to not stack Larry Fitzgerald with Carson Palmer in my lineup.  That mistake cost me 1st this week.  I could have had a zero point kicker and two bad running backs and still walked away with a win.  Bad, bad mistake by me.  Below you’ll see a side by side of my team and the winner’s team.

DFAC Week 2 Results

 

Fantasy Football Week 3 Rankings

Fantasy Football Week 3 Rankings


My week two rankings went terribly because of some injuries and some of my fades actually having huge days.  For week three I’m hopeful for a return to the top of the standings in the weekly Fantasy Pros Rankings contest and I’m going to need Andrew Luck to finally get going.  This week he has an ideal match up against the Tennessee Titans and he should finally wake up from his early season malaise.  Dion Lewis finally has my attention when it comes to ranking him, even in standard leagues and I’m starting to finally lower the rankings of last year’s stars like DeMarco Murray.  Keep an eye out for movement as Alshon Jeffrey and DeAndre Hopkins may not be able to go this week.

NFL DFS Week 3 DraftKings Podcast with Pat Mayo

NFL DFS Week 3 DraftKings Podcast with Pat Mayo

Pat Mayo (@thePME) of The FNTSY Sports Network, RotoeXperts, and DailyRoto stops by The Fantasy Coach Podcast to talk about NFL DFS Week 3 for DraftKings.  I promise we talk some strategy after catching up and exchanging the finer points on blogging and tagging posts. (I kid you not!)  After talking about this week’s hot-button issues like the NCAA going after college athletes for playing DFS  we delve into the week 3 slate.

First we discuss Thursday Night’s game between the Washington Redskins and the New York Giants and discuss if we want any exposure to the game or if we should play the Thursday start slate but fade the match up.  Kirk Cousins, Jordan Reed, Pierre Garcon, Matt Jones and Odell Beckham Jr. are discussed.

We then talk about paying up for Defense this week and how to go about setting your lineup if you are going to take Seattle at home against the Bears.

We discuss paying up for RBs this week versus taking low priced options.  Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch, and Jamaal Charles are discussed versus the lower priced James Starks, Danny Woodhead, TJ Yeldon and Latavious Murray.

We touch on the big DFS game of the week as the Pittsburgh Steelers are visiting the St. Louis Rams.  Players discussed include, Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell, Nick Foles and Todd Gurley.

We talk about highly volatile tournament plays such as Torrey Smith and Ted Ginn Jr.

We discuss bankroll management.  Differentiating between building a tournament lineup versus a cash game lineup and discuss how hard it can be to stay on course.

Breaking Down Winning and Losing Lineups On DraftKings in Week 2

Breaking Down Winning and Losing Lineups On DraftKings in Week 2

Week 2 turned into a big Monday night sweat for me in most of my cash games on DraftKings.  It all came down to Eric Decker against a beat up Colts secondary for me to have a positive weekend in DFS.  Luckily the scenario that we had all hoped would play out did as Vontae Davis covered Brandon Marshall early in the game and Decker was running free against linebackers and practice squad level corners.  If Decker had not hurt his knee and if Davis hadn’t been injured he actually could have saved some of my weaker tournament lineups that missed the money by a few points.

The big story for me was injuries and the top wide receivers actually paying dividends.  I did not have any of Julio Jones or Antonio Brown and it hurt quite a bit.  The only positive was more people faded Rob Gronkowski because of their desire to get Julio and Antonio into their lineups, which gave me a big edge at TE.   My biggest mistake was having too much exposure to Brandin Cooks at home against Tampa Bay.  I was prepared for Cooks to break out this week, but I wasn’t about to pony up for Drew Brees after watching him dump it off again and again the week before.  Cooks and the Saints struggles as a team almost cost me big time.  Luckily Jordan Matthews caught a garbage time touchdown otherwise I would be writing this a little poorer than usual.  (Give a guy a break when he has triplets.)

Tevin Coleman’s injury really hurt my cash lineups.  I teamed him up with Marshawn Lynch and obviously Lynch under-performed, but I could have absorbed that a little easier if I didn’t lose Coleman to cracked ribs late int he first half against the Giants.  I’m wondering if people will shy away from Lynch in cash during week 3 after his performance against the Packers even though he is facing the lowly Chicago Bears Defense.  I was kicking myself a bit for not having any exposure to DeAngelo Williams in the last week before Le’Veon Bell came back from suspension, and also not at least taking Torrey Smith a bit with the 49ers having to keep up with that amazing Steelers O.

My best late swap was getting away from the Titans Defense completely and using the Cardinals and Patriots across the board.  Something about Jay Cutler makes me want to start a defense against him almost every week.  It’s too bad he won’t be healthy enough to face the Seahawks this week as he has a strained hamstring from chasing a defender this past Sunday.  I felt like Decker and Terrance Williams were going to be owned a bunch in cash games and really wanted to stay away from canceling out on defense when there were other good options.

My Strengths this week:  Zeroing in on Carson Palmer and Ben Roethlisberger as my QBs and picking the right Defenses.

My Weakness this week:  Cash Game Running Backs, and not stacking (for some odd reason) in tournament lineups. (Larry Fitzgerald and Antonio Brown)

Some of the best post week breakdowns have been going up over at DraftKings Playbook.  Adam Levitan (formerly of Rotoworld) has written breakdowns of his cash game lineups the past two weeks that I believe they will really help people understand the difference between thinking about tournament lineup construction and cash game lineup construction.  This week he broke down some mistakes and you should definitely give it a look.
http://playbook.draftkings.com/nfl/nfl-cash-game-lineup-review-week-2/

Jonathan Bales (Author of Fantasy Sports for Smart People and Co-Founder of Fantasy Labs) broke down his winning DraftKings lineup in the higher stakes single entry DraftKings NFL World Championship Qualifier for week 2 in a video over at FantasyLabs.com.  I think it’s extremely important to pay attention to his reasoning for playing Dion Lewis against the Bills, putting Eric Decker in the Flex spot, and also taking the Patriots D.  This is god standard breakdown and it’s always fun to hear how a winning lineup was constructed.
http://www.fantasylabs.com/articles/draftkings-lineup-breakdown-week-2-championship-qualifier/

 

Fantasy Football Week Two Waiver Wire Watch

Fantasy Football Week Two Waiver Wire Watch

Well week two was unkind in the injury department. Owners lost Tony Romo to a broken clavicle, possibly Drew Brees to an injured shoulder and Eddie Lacy was hobbled with an ankle injury.  Alshon Jeffrey had a set back with his injured calf and hamstring and missed week two while Michael Floyd and Mike Evans were shut out because they are playing through injuries.  Promising rookie Tevin Coleman cracked some ribs and something must have happened to Roddy White for him to be shut out in New York.  Not to mention Jeremy Hill had some fumbling issues and Alfred Morris saw more of his touches end up going to Matt Jones.  The struggles of Brandin Cooks, CJ Anderson and Lamar Miller continued and Peyton Manning’s arm strength looked just as bad as week one.

Hopefully some the guys listed below can help plug the gaps grab some wins for you.

QB:

Joe Flacco Baltimore Ravens- (ESPN Ownership 41%)
With Baltimore’s defense looking like swiss cheese Baltimore’s signal caller will be asked to put it up early and often.  The development of Crockett Gilmore really helps Flacco as he works the middle of the field and makes the linebackers and safeties pay attention to players besides Steve Smith and Justin Forsett.

Andy Dalton Cincinnati Bengals- (ESPN Ownership 21%)
Dalton looks to be a new man this year as he’s consistently throwing the ball where only his receivers can make a play.  The size of AJ Green and Tyler Eifert give him excellent weapons in the red zone and Giovani Bernard gives him an outlet for added yardage in the passing game.

RB:

Matt Jones RB Washington Redskins (ESPN Ownership 15.8%)
Matt Jones looked explosive in game one when given a chance behind Alfred Morris and ran with an opportunity during week 2 as he topped 100 yards and scored twice against a tough St. Louis Rams defense.  The Redskins O looks to rely on the running game and Alf and Jones could each have RB2 value going forward.  If Jones badly outplays Morris he could take over the role as Morris is not signed past this year.

David Johnson RB Arizona Cardinals (ESPN Ownership 46%)
Chris Johnson was announced as the lead dog last week by Bruce Arians, but once again you cannot listen to Coach Speak when looking for the best upside pick up.  Johnson returned a kickoff 108 yards for a touchdown to start the game against the Bears and then got in the endzone again in his few touches.

Devonte Freeman Atlanta Falcons (ESPN Ownership 64%)
With Tevin Coleman sidelined Devonte Freeman will see the bulk of the touches for Atlanta against the Cowboys, Texans and Redskins in the next three weeks.  While I don’t like Freeman’s talent all that much he did show nice strength gaining first downs this week against the Giants and even scored at the goal-line to ice the game.

Dion Lewis New England Patriots (ESPN Ownership 40%)
LeGarrette Blount returned from suspension this week and the Patriots faced the fearsome Bills defense and still Dion Lewis excelled.  Lewis has been money in the passing game and has been one of the most elusive backs in the NFL so far.  I say ride him while you can.  If he keeps fumbling he will eventually lose his job so don’t go all in.

Ronnie Hillman Denver Broncos (ESPN Ownership 49%)
The toe injury has clearly slowed CJ Anderson and Hillman has been just a bit more effective with his chances.  Grab him if he’s available in case Anderson gets shut down or Hillman outplays him.

James Starks Green Bay (ESPN Ownership 8%)
It looked like Eddie Lacy was going to miss major time when he couldn’t put weight on his foot and ankle during Sunday Night Football against the Seahawks, but now it’s been rumored that he may be a go on Monday night against the Chiefs.  Starks looked great filling in, especially in the passing game so he needs to be owned, especially with Lacy’s concussion history.

WR:

Michael Crabtree Oakland Raiders (ESPN Ownership 31%)
Amari Cooper is scary good and that’s a good thing for Crabtree.  With Cooper getting added attention Crabtree was left alone to make plays last week and I can see that happening a lot moving forward.  The Raiders D is once again soft and the Raiders will be forced to throw the ball a lot.

Travis Benjamin Cleveland Browns (ESPN Ownership 6%)
I don’t love Benjamin long term, but he is a big play wide receiver who is hot.  I would take a stab, especially in standard leagues as Benjamin is scary in the open field and running at safeties.

Doug Baldwin Seattle Seahawks (ESPN Ownership 35%)
Loved the way Baldwin looked this week as he easily got open once Wilson started threatening the edge.  Against the Bears and Kyle Fuller next week Baldwin could be borderline WR2.

Allen Hurns Jacksonville Jaguars (ESPN Ownership 4.5%)
Hurns is the clear number two wide receiver for Jacksonville and Blake Bortles looks like he’s getting better.  Hurns has the speed to make big plays and his catch rate is getting a bit better this year.  I love having him as a WR5 on my teams.

Leonard Hankerson Atlanta Falcons (ESPN Ownership 3.8%)
Hankerson was the man to benefit last week as the Giants tried their best to pay attention to Julio Jones.  Hankerson is a nice PPR option in deep PPR leagues as Matt Ryan and the Falcons may lean on the passing game a bit more with Tevin Coleman sidelined.

TE:

Vernon Davis San Francisco 49ers (ESPN Ownership 38%)
Vernon Davis seeing consistent targets the first two weeks and the 49ers D looks vulnerable which will force the 49ers to throw more than they have the last few years.

Jared Cook St. Louis Rams (ESPN Ownership 9%)
Cook led all Rams receivers this week in yardage has looked like he has a nice relationship going with Nick Foles.  Cook could be a solid deep PPR league flex option this week against the Steelers.

Crocket Gilmore Baltimore Ravens (ESPN Ownership 1.5%)
Gilmore has made strides as a tight end from year one to year two.  He is a huge target who has nice athleticism and a nose for the goal-line.  In standard leagues I like him a lot more.

DFS Legality and Steve Rannazzisi 911 Lie Podcast

DFS Legality and Steve Rannazzisi 911 Lie PodcastMichael Stein of FantasyJudgment.com

While Renee Miller was unavailable to come on the podcast this week, I decided to talk about some current topics in the fantasy sports and daily fantasy sports industries.  My good friend Michael Stein of FantasyJudgment.com stopped by the podcast to lend his expertise in both areas of discussion this week.  First we look at the question of legality when it comes to DFS and then we delve into the 911 survivor lie told by Steve Rannazzisi of FX’s The League.  I felt that Michael was the perfect person to talk about the legal question marks with DFS because of his day job as a lawyer and also because he actually lived through the horrors that terrible day just over 14 years ago.

Some Links on DFS Legality:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/chrissmith/2012/09/19/should-gambling-on-fantasy-football-be-legal/
http://www.kleinmoynihan.com/are-daily-fantasy-sports-tournaments-legal/
http://www.opposingviews.com/i/skillful-planning-or-lucky-break-fantasy-football%E2%80%99s-unique-ruling

The Steve Rannazzisi 911 Lie:
http://www.ew.com/article/2015/09/16/league-rannazzisi-lied-911

Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings

Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings


With the Start/Sit Widget still not up and running I’ll make sure to have my rankings up each and every week and as fresh as possible.  You’ll see players like Terrance Williams, Pierre Garcon and Chris Johnson pushed up my rankings because of injuries while players like Brandon Marshall and Odell Beckham Jr. get pushed down a bit because of match ups.

2015 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Fantasy Football Week One Waiver Wire Watch

Fantasy Football Week One Waiver Wire Watch

 

Week one does not always give a clear picture of usage and situation, but you can take a step towards a fantasy championship by aggressively grabbing the right waiver wire target.  Below are some of my recommendations.  Editor’s Note- This post will be up on Tuesdays of each and every week moving forward.

QB

Carson Palmer Arizona Cardinals (56% owned ESPN)
Palmer showed in week one why I had him as one of my top sleeper QBs this fantasy season.  He moved around extremely well and was able to find the open receiver constantly.  Palmer didn’t even have Michael Floyd at full strength and lost a nice passing game weapon in Andre Ellington during the game.  Given that John Brown will continue to grow and Floyd will be back to himself soon, you have to love Palmer going forward.

Alex Smith Kansas City Chiefs (26.2% owned ESPN)
Alex Smith did not throw a touchdown to a wide receiver again!  Who cares as long as Travis Kelce and Jamaal Charles are around.  Both Kelce and Charles can take it to the house any time they get the ball in their hands and that make Smith dangerous.

Marcus Mariota Tennessee Titans (56% owned ESPN)
The game plan was perfect for the Titans in week one.  Quick hitting plays and extremely hard to defend zone read – option passes.  Mariota showed off more arm strength than he did in the preseason and his accuracy was still on point.  His accuracy will be at the forefront of his fantasy points if he can continue to hit Kendall Wright in full stride as well as put the ball on his running backs so that they don’t have to adjust to the ball.

RB

Bishop Sankey Tennessee Titans
Sankey is widely owned in ESPN leagues, but in CBS and Yahoo 10 team leagues he is available in some PPR leagues that feature more WRs.  He needs to be rostered with the way Mariota and the Titans offense looked.  Sankey gets lucky with CObb being injured as well as Anontio Andrews nursing a hammy, but he took full advantage in week one.

David Johnson Arizona Cardinals
The injury to Andre Ellington and the speed he showed in the passing game mean it’s only a matter of time before he breaks out.  Grab David Johnson instead of Chris Johnson and wait until it pays off.  It may be sooner than later.

Dion Lewis New England Patriots
The Pats D gave up yards in bunches against the Steelers and I don’t think their secondary is going to be much better against much of the league.  Lewis will play a major role when they are down and or in shoot outs so if you’re in a PPR league make him a priority.

Darren Sproles Philadelphia Eagles
Sproles looked finished just two years ago in New Orleans, but he must have been playing injured.  He was excellent last year, even stealing red zone carries from LeSean McCoy.  This year he picked up where left off torching the Falcons with his incredible route running and speed.

Khiry Robinson New Orleans Saints
The Saints have issues getting the ball to their wide receivers right now.  It looks like they will continue to feature both Ingram and Robinson in the passing game until CJ Spiller returns and Robinson will still have value even when Spiller returns.

WR

Terrance Williams Dallas Cowboys
The injury to Dez Bryant is more likely to be an 8 week injury than it is to be a 4 week injury.  Williams becomes the number one in Dallas and with their running backs not setting the world on fire they may have to lean on the passing game a little more.

Donte Moncrief Indianapolis Colts
Moncrief was involved in the offense even before TY Hilton went down with a knee injury.  I don’t think Hilton misses much time, if any, but Moncrief should be scooped up.  Andre Johnson had trouble getting open and the Colts run game looked nonexistent.  With the Colts D showing no teeth they are going to have to rely on the arm of Andrew Luck again and I want his receivers if that’s the case.

Stevie Johnson San Diego Chargers
I loved Johnson as a sleeper target until his price rose to almost crazy levels over the summer.  After week one, I think I may have pumped the breaks when I should have continued to buy.  Malcolm Floyd was not involved much and Johnson was dynamite in the WR  screen and quick hitting game.

Percy Harvin Buffalo Bills
Rex Ryan really like Percy Harvin and more importantly it looks like Tyrod Taylor really like Percy Harvin.  As long as he’s at least the number two option in the offense I think he has value.  Especially in standard leagues. I n PPR I may look elsewhere.

Cole Beasley Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are going to have to count on their role players with Dez Bryant sidelined.  In deeper PPR leagues I would scoop up Beasley.

TE

Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals
Eifert was only 40% owned on ESPN entering the weekend, but those days have passed after his breakout performance.  He’s always been talented, but just needed to stay healthy to show it.  He is still available in 30% of leagues and that should be gone by the time everyone’s FAAB bidding ends.  Eifert is the number two receiver in the offense and the Bengals have showed that they have game plans that heavily involve him.

Jordan Reed Washington Redskins
Jordan Reed may be the luckiest fantasy asset on the planet.  Ste to take a back seat this season, Niles Paul and Logan Paulsen get injured in the preseason.  During week one DeSean Jackson injures his hamstring and Reed is put at the forefront of the Redskins passing game.  Reed is talented and looks stronger this season.  Grab him, let him score some points for you and then trade him before he pulls a hamstring again.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The old adage that rookie and new QBs like to throw to the closest thing to them proved true in week one as Jameis Winston found Seferian-Jenkins several times.  With Tampa Bay’s defense still not much improved I would suggest grabbing this big tight end  where you can.

Heath Miller Pittsburgh Steelers
For the next few weeks Heath Miller will continue to feature in the passing game until Martavis Bryant returns from suspension.  Miller was a PPR beast in week one and should get some red zone looks moving forward.  The fact that Markus Wheaton didn’t look all that great week one makes me like playing miller even more.

Ladarius Green San Diego Chargers
Green was set to miss week one with a concussion, but made a miraculous recovery in time to face the Detroit Lions.  His speed and size make for big play ability and he is definitely Rivers best option in the red zone until Antonio Gates comes back.

K

Brandon McManus Denver Broncos
Who benefits from the Broncos offense struggling a bit?  The kicker does!  McManus easily beat out Connor Barth this preseason and rocketed multiple 50 yard plus field goals this weekend.  Top 6 kicker for me.

Zach Hocker New Orleans Saints
With Jimmy Graham in Seattle it looks like New Orleans is going to have a tougher time punching it in when they get to the red zone and Hocker will be the one to benefit the most.

Chandler Catanzaro Arizona Cardinals
Catanzaro is a decent pick for anyone who needs a kicker in deeper leagues.  The Cardinals will put up points this year and their running game doesn’t look like it’s built for short yardage success so Catanzaro will benefit.

D

Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs defense looked very solid this week even on the road.  The return of Derrick Johnson and the continued dominance of Justin Houston mean the Chiefs are going to be better than I gave them credit for before the season.

 

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