DraftKings Value Plays

Home/Tag: DraftKings Value Plays

DraftKings NBA DFS Studs and Values, November 17th

Tuesday’s slate includes a ton of high-tier talent. Three players are priced above $10,000 while five are $9,000 and higher. Which do you build your lineup around? Do you build around any? Let’s take a peek at some studs & values at each position for tonight’s games.

DraftKings NBA DFS Studs and Values, November 17th

By: Matt Best

PG

Stud: Kyle Lowry ($8,200) @ Golden State Warriors

Hear me out. Yes, the Raptors are facing the Warriors. Yes, those Warriors are undefeated. Yes, odds of the Raptors winning are 5:1. That doesn’t mean Kyle Lowry’s hot streak will stop. This game has the highest total point projection (207). Someone’s going to have to shoot the ball for the Raptors. Lowry is averaging 46.31 DK points per game. His counterpart (and the most expensive point guard at $10,700) Stephen Curry is averaging 52 DK points per game. Those 6 DK points aren’t worth the extra $2,500.

Value: Emmanuel Mudiay ($6,100) @ New Orleans Pelicans

Mudiay has been hit or miss this season (39.75 FP vs Milwaukee, 18.5 FP vs Oklahoma City). The good news is, he’s facing a horrific New Orleans defence (30th in total points against | 109.4 per game). The even better news? The Pelicans are pathetic at guarding the 1 (53.5 Average DraftKings points against per game). Opponents point guards shoot 46.1% from the field. This is perfect for Mudiay who’s had 44 shot attempts in his last three games.

 

SG

Stud: DeMar DeRozan ($7,300) @ Golden State Warriors

At $7,300, DeRozan is at the top for SG pricing. If Klay Thompson enters the lineup and has to guard DeRozan, DeMar might have a field day. Thompson has been dealing with a stiff back throughout the year and DeRozan has been explosive throughout the year. The Warriors give up an average of 41.6 DraftKings points to opposing shooting guards. Look for DeMar to join the party.

Value: Khris Middleton ($5,800) @ Washington Wizards

Minutes, minutes, minutes. He really should be called Khris Minuteston. Alright, I’ll stop. Middleton has played 40+ minutes in his last two games and he’s been heating up beyond the arc (4/7 over his last two games). Even with O.J. Mayo probable to make his season debut, expect his minutes to be limited.  The Wizards are most likely to be without Bradley Beal as he’s suffering from a bruised shoulder. In that case, Garrett Temple gets the start which means Middleton needs to be in your lineup.

 

SF

Stud: Carmelo Anthony ($8,500) vs Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte is inside the top ten for most DraftKings points given up to opposing small forwards (40.9). This bodes well for Anthony owners tonight as Melo has been on a scoring tear as of late. His last game out – 29 points, 13 rebounds while shooting 11-21 from the field. His attempts are there and so is the history against Charlotte. The last time Anthony faced the hornets, he had 29 points to go along with 6 rebounds to muster up 42.5 DraftKings Points. His counterpart, Marvin Williams, is dealing with a right pectoral strain. That won’t bode well against the already hard to guard Melo.

Value: Otto Porter ($5,400) vs Milwaukee Bucks

Porter is well on his way to a break out campaign. Porter hit the glass hard his last game out, picking up 10 rebounds against the Magic. Look for around the same production against a Bucks squad who gives up 8.3 RPG against opposing small forwards. Porter is getting a lions share of the minutes with Beal out of the lineup and the Bucks give up 20+ points to opposing SF’s. More minutes = more points. More points = more money for you.

PF

Stud: Greg Monroe ($8,100) @ Washington Wizards

Three. Straight. Double. Doubles. That’s all you should really need to know at this point. What you see is what you get with Monroe, and what you should see is a must play. The Wizards will have Marcin Gortat and his 14.51 Player Efficiency Rating go up against Monroe and his 24.93 PER. Bad news for Washington. Over the last five games, the Wiz have given up 53.2 DraftKings points per game on average against opposing power forwards. Get Monroe in your lineup.

Value: Thaddeus Young ($5,900) vs Atlanta Hawks

Thaddeus had his best game of the season against the best team in the league on Saturday, posting 26 points and 10 rebounds en-route to 50 DK points. Expect the mobile PF to take Paul Millsap on a shooting adventure. Opposing PF’s shoot 52.3% from the field and Young is certainly starting to shoot the ball more (22 FGA vs GS).

 

C

Stud: Andre Drummond ($9,900) vs Cleveland Cavaliers

When was the last time Andre Drummond failed to register a double double? April 13th. He was only one rebound away. The Drummond train has been rolling all season long and it’ll just continue to push through opponents. It’s next stop – Cleveland. Timofey Mozgof will get the first crack at slowing him down, but when that fails – Tristan Thompson will attempt to slow him down. Thompson had a season low 4 rebounds his last game out. Play Drummond.

Value: Andrew Bogut ($4,800) vs Toronto Raptors

Bogut has seen his minutes go higher and higher since coming back from a concussion. He saw a season high 32 minutes off the bench against Brooklyn while registering a double double and stuffing the stat sheet (10 points, 18 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks, 2 steals). Against a Toronto D who’s given up 61.0 DraftKings points against opposing centres, there’s no better opportunity for the old Bogut to continue to come back into form.

 

Bargain Bin:

PF – J.J. Hickson ($4,300)

SG – Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($3,300)

PG – Dennis Schroder ($4,600)

Thank you for reading and don’t hesitate to reach out on Twitter (@BESTofMATT) with any last minute DraftKings line up questions.

 

Week 7 Draft Kings NFL DFS Podcast with Renee Miller

Week 7 Draft Kings NFL DFS Podcast with Renee Miller

For your listening pleasure I get to welcome back Renee Miller (@ReneeMiller01) of ESPN, Pro Football Focus, and Rotoworld to talk about week 7 Draft Kings NFL DFS.
We talk about our favorite stacks (Carson Palmer, Phillip Rivers, Matt Ryan, Jameis Winston, Landry Jones).
We discuss key cogs in our lineups like Todd Gurley, DeAndre Hopkins, Davonta Freeman, Doug Martin, Mike Evans, Larry Fitzgerald and much, much more.  I hope you enjoy, and feel free to rate and leave a review on Itunes or Stitcher.

Renee’s Latest on NBA DFS over at ESPN- http://espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/story/_/id/13930790/pay-attention-sportsbook-lines-efficiency-possible-blowouts-constructing-nba-dfs-roster

Renee on the PFF Podcast- https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2015/10/20/podcast-week-7-nfl-dfs/

NFL DFS Week 6 DraftKings Podcast with Rumford Johnny

NFL DFS Week 6 DraftKings Podcast with Rumford Johnny


Rumford Johnny (@RumfordJohnny) of the Rummy & Ray Podcast stops by the podcast to discuss the NFL DFS Week 6 DraftKings slate with me.
We discuss Thursday night exposure with players like Devonta Freeman, Willie Snead, and Julio Jones, Tom Brady and Rummy’s beloved Patriots facing the Colts, The Monday Night contest with Sam Bradford, Jordan Matthews, and Zach Ertz facing the Giants.

Week One NFL DFS Value Plays on DraftKings

Week One NFL DFS Value Plays For Draft Kings

Renee Miller and I spoke about many of these players last night on The Fantasy Coach Podcast (Listen here), but I figured I could touch on a few names that I just can’t seem to get away from.

My favorite values:

Julius Thomas at 5800- I absolutely love Thomas this year and think Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos are going to be putting the pedal to the medal in their first live action since the Super Bowl loss to the Seahawks.  Thomas has a very good chance to be the top TE in week one and he’s almost 2500 dollars cheaper than Jimmy Graham.

Shaun Hill at 5000-  Obviously rock bottom prices for starting QBs don’t come along often.  There would have to be a freak mid weak injury for you to see this type of value in season, but to start the season these things happen.  Hill is a decent back up QB in the NFL and isn’t afraid to get the ball downfield to his big wide receivers.  The Vikings secondary was pretty bad last year and they only upgraded at the slot corner position and I’m not sure it was much of an upgrade.

Mark Ingram at 4200-  Ingram looked like a different RB at the end of last season and through out the preseason.  The Saints were opening up huge holes and Ingram was running angry and was very decisive when it was his turn in the triumvirate of the Saints’ backfield.  Sure he won’t catch many balls with Pierre Thomas  there, but he will be running against a run defense that didn’t get much better in the off season when he faces Atlanta.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense at 3100- Lovie Smith is in town and inherited a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball.  The Bucs also spent in the off season on that side of the ball and it showed in the preseason as they didn’t give up a touchdown with their first unit.  With Cam Newton a game time decision the Bucs could be going against the turnover machine that is known as Derek Anderson.

Alshon Jeffrey at 7100-  Jeffrey may not have the lowest points to dollars spent out of my best buys, but he very well could be the best play of the weekend.  I watched the Bills secondary look very shaky in the preseason and Jeffrey looks like he is on the verge of joining the big six wide receiver conversation.  He could easily have the best numbers in week one of the DFS slate.

 

 

(Ignore the Shaun Droughn Value in the graphic!)

[/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container]

Go to Top